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World Cup 2018: Sweden vs. England odds, lines, expert picks, and insider predictions

Saturday's World Cup quarterfinal action kicks off when England battles Sweden at 10 a.m. ET from Samara Arena. The winner of this all-European battle will advance to the 2018 World Cup semifinals, while the loser will be sent packing. England enters Saturday's showdown at -115 money line favorites, meaning you'd need to bet $115 on an English victory to win $100. Sweden enters this match at +375 (wager $100 to win $375), while a draw in regulation is at +235. The over-under on total goals scored in this 2018 World Cup fixture is 2.

Before you lock in your 2018 World Cup picks, you need to see what European football expert David Sumpter has to say. Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote "Soccermatics," the book that explains how math works inside the sport. Along with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.
The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In nearly three seasons since its inception, the Soccerbot is up an incredible 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds.
It is absolutely destroying the 2018 World Cup knockout stage. It correctly predicted draws in regulation for Spain-Russia (+280), Croatia-Denmark (+225) and England-Colombia (+215) and was all over France beating Uruguay in regulation to reach the semifinals, not to mention Brazil and Belgium cruising in their Round of 16 matchups. Earlier, the model nailed draws for Argentina-Iceland (+385) and Brazil-Switzerland (+360) and predicted Iran upsetting Morocco at +275, just to name a few of its big calls. Anyone who has followed it is way, way up.
Now, the Soccerbot has digested the film, crunched the numbers and broken down every single player on England and Sweden. The model is leaning towards the Under, and it also has released a very strong money-line pick, which it's sharing over at SportsLine.
The model knows England advanced past Colombia in the Round of 16 in a thrilling penalty shootout. It was the first time England has won a penalty shootout at a major tournament since 1996, when The Three Lions defeated Spain at the European Championships. 
England went up 1-0 in the second half against Colombia before conceding a late goal to force extra time. England's goal was scored by its captain, Harry Kane, who has netted six goals in his first three World Cup appearances for England. Kane enters Saturday's showdown against Sweden in top goal-scoring form and the 1-7 favorite for the 2018 Golden Boot. He has scored 14 goals in 10 appearances for England under current manager Gareth Southgate.

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